Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.306514 0.357907 0.417363 0.491728 0.582944 0.692070 0.833849
2025-08-03 0.232858 0.298649 0.384253 0.505994 0.678348 0.919437 1.292992
2025-08-10 0.187993 0.257614 0.356198 0.510573 0.755118 1.144124 1.846987
2025-08-17 0.158170 0.227969 0.333498 0.511960 0.822179 1.373432 2.518336
2025-08-24 0.136025 0.204119 0.312672 0.508340 0.876537 1.598097 3.303176
2025-08-31 0.118444 0.183724 0.292471 0.499378 0.916498 1.808887 4.188414
2025-09-07 0.108149 0.173211 0.286352 0.513512 1.004729 2.156921 5.663922
2025-09-14 0.096403 0.158279 0.269550 0.502713 1.036456 2.388380 7.006266
2025-09-21 0.088582 0.149061 0.261535 0.507669 1.105299 2.747775 9.122223
2025-09-28 0.081275 0.139732 0.251694 0.506358 1.158651 3.092913 11.591667
2025-10-05 0.076728 0.134940 0.249983 0.522795 1.263867 3.658302 15.841581
2025-10-12 0.072443 0.130070 0.247287 0.536278 1.366393 4.283239 21.540564
2025-10-19 0.068325 0.125139 0.243969 0.548306 1.472603 5.012332 29.665714
2025-10-26 0.064957 0.121343 0.242612 0.565421 1.603897 5.962136 42.442208
2025-11-02 0.061140 0.116152 0.237324 0.570870 1.699871 6.849397 58.326358
2025-11-09 0.057494 0.110904 0.231143 0.572510 1.784416 7.773594 79.551122
2025-11-16 0.053898 0.105377 0.223527 0.568373 1.846834 8.655172 106.272381
2025-11-23 0.050344 0.099579 0.214491 0.558107 1.881949 9.427312 137.971537
2025-11-30 0.048449 0.097321 0.213961 0.574305 2.037480 11.210702 213.727179
2025-12-07 0.045382 0.092072 0.205129 0.561928 2.062084 12.097633 279.867639
2025-12-14 0.043380 0.089116 0.201900 0.567607 2.175757 13.895127 422.831409
2025-12-21 0.041243 0.085640 0.196860 0.566105 2.255441 15.560568 620.157036
2025-12-28 0.040054 0.084324 0.197501 0.584952 2.452805 18.803288 1123.446465